Estimated Subscribers to WAR

[Graugrimm]

Originally Posted by clok

side note: AoC with 400,000 where is everyboyd getting this number? No, I'm not saying its incorrect, just wondering.

Fail... I mean Funcom is a listed company. In the recent quarterly report they commented that the game had about 400k active subs around mid-August. Some speculation came right after that the date was about a week before many subs are renewed, indication a number higher than it is currently. So, if you want to see it, go to their site and check under financial statements.

[Ryleh]

AoC didn't launch to even close to 1 million subs. They shipped about 750k to retailers. I'd be surprised if half that number sold.

I'd say for WAR 500-750k the first month, then over a million by the end of the year.

[Ryleh]

Also, a lot of you are forgetting about Asia.

One of the biggest reasons WoW hit the 11 million sub mark this year is Asia. Would it have at least 1-2 million subs in America alone without Asia? Of course.

Warhammer Online will also be shipping to Asia, EA confirmed this awhile ago - this could mean huge numbers for WAR.

Only time will tell.

[Mbj]

Originally Posted by kuwatatak

lol, I wish a Developer would get on and post their guess.

Wish granted.

More than Everquest (at peak) and less than WoW.

Mark

[Nimec]

Originally Posted by Mbj

Wish granted.

More than Everquest (at peak) and less than WoW.

Mark

Cool. A nice healthy figure.

[Amaya]

Originally Posted by Mbj

Wish granted.

More than Everquest (at peak) and less than WoW.

Mark

Impressive....

Statements like this make me think that this game will bring back the fun of MMOs which existed before WoW.

[haspes23]

Originally Posted by Mbj

Wish granted.

More than Everquest (at peak) and less than WoW.

Mark

LOL Good call Mark, I was one of those EQ nerds at peak.

I am just curious how many of those subs are going to be unique accounts compared to the same person having 2 - 6 accounts. I know I plan on having 2 accouts at minimum.

[BlackWarder]

Originally Posted by haspes23

LOL Good call Mark, I was one of those EQ nerds at peak.

I am just curious how many of those subs are going to be unique accounts compared to the same person having 2 - 6 accounts. I know I plan on having 2 accouts at minimum.

Why?

Warder

[Trudat]

The question now has to be asked, how many subs did EQ have at peak?

[Xeiiib]

Other than multi-boxing, whats the point of multiple accounts?

I estimate... 500k at launch, 750k by end of the year, 1M+ by May of '09.

[Vossner]

450,000 if I remember correctly.

[Bansai]

Originally Posted by Mbj

Wish granted.

More than Everquest (at peak) and less than WoW.

Mark

less then wow, oi were talking WoW killer here , WAAAAARGH

i predict more subscribtions to WAR then WoW in the future and dont try to prove me wrong here

[Bansai]

AOC has proven us people are looking for something that will beat WoW , a change after those boring grind years.

AOC was too buggy so people didnt stay with it, WAR will hopefully do better.

[Gaugamela]

Originally Posted by haspes23

LOL Good call Mark, I was one of those EQ nerds at peak.

I am just curious how many of those subs are going to be unique accounts compared to the same person having 2 - 6 accounts. I know I plan on having 2 accouts at minimum.

If that person has more than one account it is paying and maintaining all those accounts. It's almost impossible or at least impractical to distinguish between costumers with more than one active account and costumers with only one.

Oh, and your estimates are a bit wide Mark. Between some hundred thousand and 10 millions? Don't you have a more precise estimate?

Other question: how many active subs would the game need to regain the investment made on it by EA?
Is it the EQ numbers at peak enough?

[Linolea]

Interesting to see how people throw "authoritative" numbers around willy nilly in this thread. Try a look here (can't speak for the accuracy of their data, but they look reasonable for the games I am familiar with - i.e. played first-hand):

http://mmogdata.voig.com/

Also note that you cannot compare numbers in non-sub games to sub games, because I am probably one of the Guildwars data points despite playing it for a mere few hours (I thought it sucked that hard, yes).

Cheers,
Lin